1. Identity statement | |
Reference Type | Journal Article |
Site | plutao.sid.inpe.br |
Holder Code | isadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S |
Identifier | J8LNKAN8RW/3C63UUL |
Repository | dpi.inpe.br/plutao/2012/06.21.20.18 (restricted access) |
Last Update | 2012:07.05.12.26.56 (UTC) administrator |
Metadata Repository | dpi.inpe.br/plutao/2012/06.21.20.18.48 |
Metadata Last Update | 2021:01.03.02.11.04 (UTC) administrator |
DOI | 10.1002/met.1324 |
ISSN | 1350-4827 |
Label | lattes: 9873289111461387 4 CoelhoCCFILSNMP:2012:ClDiTh |
Citation Key | CoelhoCCFILSNOP:2012:ClDiTh |
Title | Climate diagnostics of three major drought events in the Amazon and illustrations of their seasonal precipitation predictions |
Project | CNPq 306664/2010-0 |
Year | 2012 |
Month | June |
Access Date | 2024, Mar. 29 |
Secondary Type | PRE PI |
Number of Files | 1 |
Size | 2381 KiB |
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2. Context | |
Author | 1 Coelho, Caio A. S. 2 Cavalcanti, Iracema A. F. 3 Costa, Simone M. S. 4 Freitas, Saulo Ribeiro de 5 Ito, Ester Regina Kazuko 6 Luz, Giovana 7 Santos, Ariane F. 8 Nobre, Carlos A. 9 Orsini, Jose Antonio Marengo 10 Pezza, Alexandre B. |
Resume Identifier | 1 2 3 4 8JMKD3MGP5W/3C9JJ7M 5 6 7 8 9 8JMKD3MGP5W/3C9JHG3 |
Group | 1 DOP-CPT-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR 2 DMD-CPT-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR 3 DSA-CPT-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR 4 DMD-CPT-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR 5 CPT-CPT-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR 6 CPT-CPT-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR 7 8 CST-CST-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR 9 CST-CST-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR |
Affiliation | 1 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 2 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 3 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 4 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 5 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 6 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 7 8 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 9 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 10 School of Earth Sciences, The University of Melbourne, Victoria, Australia |
Author e-Mail Address | 1 2 3 4 saulo.freitas@cptec.inpe.br 5 6 7 8 9 jose.marengo@inpe.br |
e-Mail Address | saulo.freitas@cptec.inpe.br |
Journal | Meteorological Applications |
Volume | 19 |
Number | 2 |
Pages | 237-255 |
Secondary Mark | B2_CIÊNCIAS_AGRÁRIAS_I B2_MATEMÁTICA_/_PROBABILIDADE_E_ESTATÍSTICA |
History (UTC) | 2012-06-22 00:11:00 :: lattes -> administrator :: 2012 2012-07-03 17:41:11 :: administrator -> secretaria.cpa@dir.inpe.br :: 2012 2012-07-17 13:22:33 :: secretaria.cpa@dir.inpe.br -> administrator :: 2012 2021-01-03 02:11:04 :: administrator -> marciana :: 2012 |
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3. Content and structure | |
Is the master or a copy? | is the master |
Content Stage | completed |
Transferable | 1 |
Content Type | External Contribution |
Version Type | publisher |
Keywords | amazon droughts monsoon precipitation regime extreme river levels teleconnections aerosol seasonal prediction aerosol smoke clouds predictability microphysics cloudiness atmosphere rainfall system teleconnections aerosol seasonal prediction |
Abstract | ABSTRACT: The Amazon has a well-defined wet austral summer monsoon and dry winter monsoon precipitation regime and experienced a sequence of drought events in the last 13 years. This study performs a comparative assessment of observed and predicted climate conditions during the three most recent drought events in the Amazon, in 19971998, 20042005 and 20092010, with emphasis on how these events affected the regional monsoon-like precipitation regime. A century long Negro River level time series at Manaus is investigated, applying extreme values theory for estimating return periods of these major drought events. Possible teleconnections of river levels at Manaus and sea surface temperature at remote regions are explored. Large scale oceanic and atmospheric conditions are investigated to highlight the mechanisms associated with the observed drought conditions, particularly during the dry monsoon season. Satellite estimates are used for diagnosing biomass burning aerosol and discuss possible contributions to the observed precipitation deficits in the 2005 and 2010 drought events during the dry monsoon season. The study is concluded with an analysis of the performance of seasonal precipitation predictions for the dry monsoon seasons of July to September 1998, 2005 and 2010 produced with the operational seasonal prediction system used at the Center for Weather Forecasts and Climate Studies (CPTEC) of the Brazilian National Institute for Space Research (INPE). This system was capable of producing 1 month in advance drought warning for the three investigated events, relevant for helping the government and local population make decisions for reducing drought impacts in the Amazon region. Copyright ÆÉ 2012 Royal Meteorological Society. |
Area | MET |
doc Directory Content | access |
source Directory Content | there are no files |
agreement Directory Content | there are no files |
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4. Conditions of access and use | |
Language | en |
Target File | Coelho_Climate diagnostics.pdf |
User Group | administrator lattes secretaria.cpa@dir.inpe.br |
Visibility | shown |
Archiving Policy | denypublisher denyfinaldraft |
Read Permission | deny from all and allow from 150.163 |
Update Permission | not transferred |
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5. Allied materials | |
Next Higher Units | 8JMKD3MGPCW/3EUPEJL 8JMKD3MGPCW/3F3T29H 8JMKD3MGPCW/43SKC35 8JMKD3MGPCW/43SQKNE 8JMKD3MGPCW/43SRC6S |
Dissemination | WEBSCI; PORTALCAPES; MGA. |
Host Collection | dpi.inpe.br/plutao@80/2008/08.19.15.01 |
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6. Notes | |
Empty Fields | alternatejournal archivist callnumber copyholder copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel format isbn lineage mark mirrorrepository nextedition notes orcid parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress readergroup rightsholder schedulinginformation secondarydate secondarykey session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark tertiarytype typeofwork url |
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7. Description control | |
e-Mail (login) | marciana |
update | |
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