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1. Identity statement
Reference TypeJournal Article
Siteplutao.sid.inpe.br
Holder Codeisadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S
IdentifierJ8LNKAN8RW/3C63UUL
Repositorydpi.inpe.br/plutao/2012/06.21.20.18   (restricted access)
Last Update2012:07.05.12.26.56 (UTC) administrator
Metadata Repositorydpi.inpe.br/plutao/2012/06.21.20.18.48
Metadata Last Update2021:01.03.02.11.04 (UTC) administrator
DOI10.1002/met.1324
ISSN1350-4827
Labellattes: 9873289111461387 4 CoelhoCCFILSNMP:2012:ClDiTh
Citation KeyCoelhoCCFILSNOP:2012:ClDiTh
TitleClimate diagnostics of three major drought events in the Amazon and illustrations of their seasonal precipitation predictions
ProjectCNPq 306664/2010-0
Year2012
MonthJune
Access Date2024, Mar. 29
Secondary TypePRE PI
Number of Files1
Size2381 KiB
2. Context
Author 1 Coelho, Caio A. S.
 2 Cavalcanti, Iracema A. F.
 3 Costa, Simone M. S.
 4 Freitas, Saulo Ribeiro de
 5 Ito, Ester Regina Kazuko
 6 Luz, Giovana
 7 Santos, Ariane F.
 8 Nobre, Carlos A.
 9 Orsini, Jose Antonio Marengo
10 Pezza, Alexandre B.
Resume Identifier 1
 2
 3
 4 8JMKD3MGP5W/3C9JJ7M
 5
 6
 7
 8
 9 8JMKD3MGP5W/3C9JHG3
Group 1 DOP-CPT-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR
 2 DMD-CPT-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR
 3 DSA-CPT-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR
 4 DMD-CPT-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR
 5 CPT-CPT-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR
 6 CPT-CPT-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR
 7
 8 CST-CST-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR
 9 CST-CST-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR
Affiliation 1 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
 2 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
 3 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
 4 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
 5 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
 6 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
 7
 8 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
 9 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
10 School of Earth Sciences, The University of Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
Author e-Mail Address 1
 2
 3
 4 saulo.freitas@cptec.inpe.br
 5
 6
 7
 8
 9 jose.marengo@inpe.br
e-Mail Addresssaulo.freitas@cptec.inpe.br
JournalMeteorological Applications
Volume19
Number2
Pages237-255
Secondary MarkB2_CIÊNCIAS_AGRÁRIAS_I B2_MATEMÁTICA_/_PROBABILIDADE_E_ESTATÍSTICA
History (UTC)2012-06-22 00:11:00 :: lattes -> administrator :: 2012
2012-07-03 17:41:11 :: administrator -> secretaria.cpa@dir.inpe.br :: 2012
2012-07-17 13:22:33 :: secretaria.cpa@dir.inpe.br -> administrator :: 2012
2021-01-03 02:11:04 :: administrator -> marciana :: 2012
3. Content and structure
Is the master or a copy?is the master
Content Stagecompleted
Transferable1
Content TypeExternal Contribution
Version Typepublisher
Keywordsamazon droughts
monsoon precipitation regime
extreme river levels
teleconnections
aerosol
seasonal prediction aerosol
smoke
clouds
predictability
microphysics
cloudiness
atmosphere
rainfall
system
teleconnections
aerosol
seasonal prediction
AbstractABSTRACT: The Amazon has a well-defined wet austral summer monsoon and dry winter monsoon precipitation regime and experienced a sequence of drought events in the last 13 years. This study performs a comparative assessment of observed and predicted climate conditions during the three most recent drought events in the Amazon, in 19971998, 20042005 and 20092010, with emphasis on how these events affected the regional monsoon-like precipitation regime. A century long Negro River level time series at Manaus is investigated, applying extreme values theory for estimating return periods of these major drought events. Possible teleconnections of river levels at Manaus and sea surface temperature at remote regions are explored. Large scale oceanic and atmospheric conditions are investigated to highlight the mechanisms associated with the observed drought conditions, particularly during the dry monsoon season. Satellite estimates are used for diagnosing biomass burning aerosol and discuss possible contributions to the observed precipitation deficits in the 2005 and 2010 drought events during the dry monsoon season. The study is concluded with an analysis of the performance of seasonal precipitation predictions for the dry monsoon seasons of July to September 1998, 2005 and 2010 produced with the operational seasonal prediction system used at the Center for Weather Forecasts and Climate Studies (CPTEC) of the Brazilian National Institute for Space Research (INPE). This system was capable of producing 1 month in advance drought warning for the three investigated events, relevant for helping the government and local population make decisions for reducing drought impacts in the Amazon region. Copyright ÆÉ 2012 Royal Meteorological Society.
AreaMET
doc Directory Contentaccess
source Directory Contentthere are no files
agreement Directory Contentthere are no files
4. Conditions of access and use
Languageen
Target FileCoelho_Climate diagnostics.pdf
User Groupadministrator
lattes
secretaria.cpa@dir.inpe.br
Visibilityshown
Archiving Policydenypublisher denyfinaldraft
Read Permissiondeny from all and allow from 150.163
Update Permissionnot transferred
5. Allied materials
Next Higher Units8JMKD3MGPCW/3EUPEJL
8JMKD3MGPCW/3F3T29H
8JMKD3MGPCW/43SKC35
8JMKD3MGPCW/43SQKNE
8JMKD3MGPCW/43SRC6S
DisseminationWEBSCI; PORTALCAPES; MGA.
Host Collectiondpi.inpe.br/plutao@80/2008/08.19.15.01
6. Notes
Empty Fieldsalternatejournal archivist callnumber copyholder copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel format isbn lineage mark mirrorrepository nextedition notes orcid parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress readergroup rightsholder schedulinginformation secondarydate secondarykey session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark tertiarytype typeofwork url
7. Description control
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