%0 Journal Article
%@nexthigherunit 8JMKD3MGPCW/3F3NU5S
%3 siqueira_pathways.pdf
%4 sid.inpe.br/plutao/2020/06.16.00.02.03
%9 journal article
%@issn 1676-0603
%@issn 1676-0611
%A Siqueira-Gay, Juliana,
%A Yanai, Aurora Miho,
%A Lessmann, Janeth,
%A Pessôa, Ana Carolina Moreira,
%A Borja, Danilo,
%A Canova, Moara,
%A Borges, Rafael Cabral,
%@secondarytype PRE PN
%B Biota Neotropica
%D 2020
%F lattes: 9352090361680792 4 Siqueira-GayYaLePeBoCaBo:2020:PaPoSc
%K Deforestation, Biodiversity, Ecosystem services, Forest degradation, Conceptual framework, IPBES.
%N Suppl 1
%P e20190905
%@secondarymark B1_PLANEJAMENTO_URBANO_E_REGIONAL_/_DEMOGRAFIA B1_INTERDISCIPLINAR B1_DIREITO B2_SAÚDE_COLETIVA B2_GEOGRAFIA B2_GEOCIÊNCIAS B2_CIÊNCIAS_AMBIENTAIS B2_CIÊNCIAS_AGRÁRIAS_I B2_BIODIVERSIDADE B3_ZOOTECNIA_/_RECURSOS_PESQUEIROS B3_MEDICINA_II B3_ENGENHARIAS_II B4_MEDICINA_VETERINÁRIA B4_ENSINO B4_ENGENHARIAS_I B4_BIOTECNOLOGIA B5_ENGENHARIAS_III B5_CIÊNCIAS_BIOLÓGICAS_III B5_CIÊNCIAS_BIOLÓGICAS_II C_CIÊNCIAS_BIOLÓGICAS_I
%T Pathways to positive scenarios for the Amazon forest in Pará state, Brazil
%V 20
%X Infrastructure projects and agriculture expansion are increasingly threatening forest conservation in Para state (Brazil). It becomes necessary to address the implications of these activities on the Amazon complex socio-ecological system, considering both material and non-material aspects of Nature's Contributions to People (NCP). Multiple studies developed future scenarios for the Amazon, but only a few have focused on discussing positive futures derived from policies and interventions based on conservation and human well-being. Here, we aim at understanding the drivers of forest cover change to produce positive scenarios for the future of the Amazon forest in Para state. By using the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES) conceptual framework, we identified as direct drivers of forest cover change: (i) roads construction; (ii) forest degradation; (iii) hydropower projects; (iv) urban expansion; (v) agriculture and pasture expansion; (vi) rural land occupation; (vii) mining; (viii) climate change. As indirect drivers we identified: (i) energy demand; (ii) population growth; (iii) land prices; (iv) commodity demand; (v) consumption behavior. The development of conservation strategies in the borders of deforested areas is needed given the high demand for Nature ' s Contributions to People supply. We also propose policies to address the main drivers of forest cover change, influencing land management and consumption behavior in the state. At last, we envision future positive scenarios that would emerge from policy applications and sustainable actions. Based on our study, we discuss the importance of social learning for developing pathways leading to positive futures that consider the integrity and development of both ecological and social systems.
%@area SRE
%@electronicmailaddress
%@electronicmailaddress
%@electronicmailaddress
%@electronicmailaddress ana.pessoa@inpe.br
%@electronicmailaddress
%@electronicmailaddress
%@electronicmailaddress rcabralsan@gmail.com
%@documentstage not transferred
%@group
%@group
%@group
%@group SER-SRE-SESPG-INPE-MCTIC-GOV-BR
%@dissemination WEBSCI; PORTALCAPES; SCIELO.
%@orcid
%@orcid
%@orcid
%@orcid 0000-0003-3285-8047
%@usergroup lattes
%@affiliation Universidade de São Paulo (USP)
%@affiliation Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas da Amazonia (INPA)
%@affiliation Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile
%@affiliation Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
%@affiliation University of Calgary
%@affiliation Universidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP)
%@affiliation Universidade Federal do Pará (UFPA)
%@versiontype publisher
%@holdercode {isadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S}
%@doi 10.1590/1676-0611-bn-2019-0905
%2 sid.inpe.br/plutao/2020/06.16.00.02.04